The Tampa Bay Rays (15-18) and New York Yankees (19-14) wrap up their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 4-2
The Rays ended a 4-game losing streak Saturday, defeating the Yankees 3-2 as +194 road underdogs as the Under (9.5) hit. SP Zack Littell held New York to 2 earned runs over 7 innings. 1B Curtis Mead, OF Jose Caballero, and SS Taylor Walls each drove in an RBI to secure the win.
After winning Friday’s opener 3-0, New York’s offense struggled Saturday getting only 5 hits. The Yankees got solo home runs from OF Aaron Judge (11th) and C Austin Wells (6th). RP Mark Leiter Jr. blew his third save, allowing 2 runs in the 8th inning.
Rays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Taj Bradley vs. RHP Will Warren
Bradley (2-2, 4.58 ERA) is making his seventh start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-1 home loss against Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- Last start vs. Yankees: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 6-3 home defeat April 17
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 3.44 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 3 starts
- 2025 road stats: 0-0, 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 8 H, 6 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
Warren (1-1, 5.63 ERA) is also making his seventh start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 24 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 road setback against Baltimore Orioles Monday
- Only start vs. Rays: No-decision, 1 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 6-3 road win April 17, 2025
- 2025 home stats: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (10 IP, 4 ER), 3 H, 6 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
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Rays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rays +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -118)
Rays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Rays 2
PASS.
I like the Yankees (-190) to take the rubber match Sunday afternoon, but not enough to take them at these odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees have dominated the Rays in recent matchups, winning 5 of the last 7 games. In 4 of those victories, New York won by 2 or more runs, a trend that’s continued in their last 6 wins. When the Yankees win, they often win big. At 11-6 in the Bronx this season, they’ve thrived thanks to a league-leading 36 home runs at Yankee Stadium. Judge has hit 8 of those, with Jazz Chisholm Jr. adding another 6. This will be Warren’s first home start since April 12th, when he allowed just 2 earned runs. While Tampa Bay secured a win Saturday, they had lost the previous 4 games. With the Yankees’ strong track record at home and recent dominance, they are poised to bounce back and secure a series victory to open this 6-game homestand.
BET UNDER 9 (-118).
The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the Rays and Yankees. Bradley is 1-1-2 against the Under in his last 4 starts, while Warren is 2-0-1 against the Under in his last 3. Both teams have shown a trend toward the Under, with the Rays hitting it in 7 of their last 10 games and the Yankees in 8 of 10 contests. These trends are tough to ignore.
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